Modeling the development of machine-building industry on the basis of the fuzzy sets theory

Abstract

The paper discusses the development trends of the machine-building in Ukraine for the period of 2010‒2017. Despite the fact that in the structure of investments in fixed assets the machine-building complex makes up a large third, it was found that during 2010–2017 the number of enterprises and employed workers involved in the field of machine-building was steadily declining. Using the tools of economic and mathematical modeling based on fuzzy sets, the authors developed a model for assessing the level of development of the machine-building industry in the near future. According to the simulation performed, an optimistic and pessimistic forecast was developed taking into account and without taking into account the proposed parameters that currently affect the activities of machine-building enterprises in the context of the new geopolitical situation.