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http://elartu.tntu.edu.ua/handle/lib/32116
Заглавие: | Modeling the development of machine-building industry on the basis of the fuzzy sets theory |
Други Заглавия: | Моделювання розвитку машинобудування на базі теорії нечітких множин Моделирование развития машиностроения на базе теории нечетких множеств |
Автори: | Rohatynskyi, R. Рогатинський, Роман Михайлович Рогатинский, Р. М. Harmatiy, N. Гарматій, Наталія Михайлівна Гарматий, Н. М. Fedyshyn, I. Федишин, Ірина Богданівна Федишин, И. Б. Dmytriv, D. Дмитрів, Дмитро Володимирович Дмытрив, Д. В. |
Bibliographic description (Ukraine): | Рогатинський Р. М. Моделювання розвитку машинобудування на базі теорії нечітких множин / Р. М. Рогатинський, Н. М. Гарматій, І. Б. Федишин, Д. В. Дмитрів // Науковий вісник Національного гірничого університету. - 2020. - №2. - С. 74-81. |
Bibliographic description (International): | Rohatynskyi R. Modeling the development of machine-building industry on the basis of the fuzzy sets theory / R. Rohatynskyi, N. Harmatiy, I. Fedyshyn, Dmytriv, D. // Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu. - 2020. - №2. - С. 74-81. |
Дата на Публикуване: | Мар-2020 |
Date of entry: | 18-Юни-2020 |
Издател: | State Higher Educational Institution" National Mining University" |
Country (code): | UA |
Place of the edition/event: | Natsional'nyi Hirnychyi Universytet. Naukovyi Visnyk |
UDC: | UDC 338.45 |
Ключови Думи: | economic development engineering enterprises metallurgy automotive industry the fuzzy sets theory економічний розвиток підприємства машинобудування металургія автомобілебудування теорія нечітких множин экономическое развитие предприятия машиностроения металлургия автомобилестроение теория нечетких множеств |
Page range: | 74-81 |
Резюме: | To analyze the state of development of Ukraine’s machine-building industry as a whole and its individual sub-sectors
at the background of modern macro, micro-environment and in the context of new geopolitical situation. The task was set to
model the development of the industry on the basis of the theory of fuzzy sets and to formulate suggestions for economic cooperation with foreign investors, in particular EU countries in the field of machine-building Оцінка стану розвитку машинобудівної галузі України в цілому та окремих її підгалузей на фоні сучасного макро, мікросередовища та в контексті нової геополітичної ситуації. Для вироблення пропозицій щодо економічного співробітництва з іноземними інвесторами, зокрема, країнами ЄС у сфері машинобудування, поставлено завдання здійснити моделювання розвитку галузі на базі теорії нечітких множин. Анализ состояния развития машиностроительной отрасли Украины в целом и отдельных ее подотраслей на фоне современной макро, микросреды и в контексте новой геополитической ситуации. Для выработки предложений по экономическому сотрудничеству с иностранными инвесторами, в частности, странами ЕС в сфере машиностроения, поставлена задача осуществить моделирование развития отрасли на базе теории нечетких множеств. |
Описание: | Methodology. The study is based on general scientific methods (analysis, synthesis, comparison, formalization, and others) and methods of statistical data analysis. The data regarding the main indicators of engineering enterprises’ activities (the number of enterprises, the number of employed workers, average monthly nominal salary of workers, the volume of products sold by machine-building enterprises), as well as the volume of direct investments from Ukraine to economies of the world for the period of 2010‒2017, was provided by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine. The apparatus of fuzzy logic (fuzzy sets) was used for studying and modeling the development of Ukraine’s machine-building industry in the near future. This is one of the most effective mathematical theories aimed at formalizing and processing uncertainty of information. Findings. The paper discusses the development trends of the machine-building in Ukraine for the period of 2010‒2017. Despite the fact that in the structure of investments in fixed assets the machine-building complex makes up a large third, it was found that during 2010–2017 the number of enterprises and employed workers involved in the field of machine-building was steadily declining. Using the tools of economic and mathematical modeling based on fuzzy sets, the authors developed a model for assessing the level of development of the machine-building industry in the near future. According to the simulation performed, an optimistic and pessimistic forecast was developed taking into account and without taking into account the proposed parameters that currently affect the activities of machine-building enterprises in the context of the new geopolitical situation |
URI: | http://elartu.tntu.edu.ua/handle/lib/32116 |
Copyright owner: | © Гарматій Н.М., Рогатинський Р.М., Федишин І., Дмитрів Д.В., 2020 |
URL for reference material: | UDC 338.45 |
References (International): | 1. Fedyshyn, I. B. (2011). Machine building complex: trends and ways out of the crisis. In Proceedings of the II International Scientific and Methodological Conference – Forum of Young Economists Cybernetics “Modeling in Economics: problems, trends, experience”, (pp. 9799). Ternopil, TIPNTU. Retrieved from http:// elartu.tntu.edu.ua/bitstream/123456789/19529/1/2_ zbirnyk_2011.pdf. 2. Smerichevskyi, S. F. (Ed) (2017). Research on the development of the machine-building industry of Ukraine: state and prospects. Multi-authored monograph. Riga: “Izdevnieciba “Baltija Publishing”. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/322052953_Research_on_the_development_of_the_machinebuilding_industry_of_Ukraine_ state_and_prospects. 3. Ravlyk, N. V. (2015). Assessment of the real state of enterprises of the machinebuilding industry of Ukraine on foreign and domestic markets. Ekonomika. Upravlinnia. Innovatsii, (1). Retrieved from http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/eui_2015_1_31. 4. Tirole, J., & Rendall, S. (2017). Economics for the common good. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. ISBN: 9780691175164. 5. Bahrova, I. V., & Tyshchenko, T. I. (2012). Evaluation of the innovative potential of an industrial enterprise. Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, (3), 139144. Fig. 3. Visualization of the model defuzzification for determining the level of development of the mechanical engineering industry in the near future implemented in the Matlab software environment 80 ISSN 2071-2227, E-ISSN 2223-2362, Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, 2020, № 2 6. Amosha, O. I. (2017). Innovative development of industrial enterprises in regions: problems and prospects. Ekonomika Ukrainy, (3), 2034. 7. Hakhovych, N. H., & Zavhorodnia, M. Yu. (2017). Machinebuilding of Ukraine: Retrospectives and Prospects. Ekonomichnyi Visnyk Universytetu, 34(1), 3747. 8. Herasymchuk, V. H., & Lypysiienko, A. P. (2018). Trends in development of machine building complex of Ukraine. Naukovyi Visnyk Uzhhorodskoho Natsionalnoho Universytetu. Seriia: Mizhnarodni ekonomichni vidnosyny ta svitove hospodarstvo, 19(1), 7579. 9. Korotkyi, Yu. V. (2015). Machine building industry of Ukraine: achievements and prospects. Naukovyi Visnyk Mizhnarodnoho Humanitarnoho Universytetu. Seriia: Ekonomika i menedzhment, (11), 117120. 10. Nazarov, D. M. (2013). Technology of decomposition on the basis of fuzzy classifier. News of Ural State Economic University, 5(49), 5459. 11. Karelina, O. V., & Harmatiy, N. M. (2016). Modeling economic processes by means of specialized software. In Modern socio-economic problems of the theory and practice of economic systems development: monograph, (pp. 172192). Ternopil: FOP Osadz Y. V. 12. Amosha, O. I., Buleiev, I. P., Zemliankin, A. I., Zbarazska, L. O., & Harazishvili, Y. M. (2017). Industry of Ukraine – 2016: the state and prospects of development: analytical report. Kyiv: National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Institute of Industrial Economics. 13. Kryvoviaziuk, І. V., & Strilchuk, R. M. (2016). Management of strategic capabilities of mechanical engineering enterprises: monograph. Rivne: Volynski oberehy. 14. Pohrebniak, A. Yu. (2013). Condition of mechanical engineering enterprises in postcrisis recovery. In Scientific and technical development: economics, technologies, management: International research and practice conference, (pp. 6969), April 2–5, 2013. Natsionalnyi Tekhnichnyi Universytet Ukrainy “KPI”, Kyiv. Retrieved from https://ela.kpi.ua/ handle/123456789/4275. 15. State Statistics Service of Ukraine (n.d.). Retrieved from http: //www.ukrstat.gov.ua. 16. August production went down (2018). Retrieved from http:// ukrautoprom.com.ua/uk/avgustovskoeproizvodstvoushlovminus. 17. Ukraine increases production of cars: analytical review (2018). Retrieved from https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/ ukrainanarashchivaetobemyproizvodstva1518171031.html. 18. Kokot, V. (2018). Sectoral export strategy of the machinebuilding. engineering. analytical background. Kyiv: Ministerstvo ekonomichnoho rozvytku i torhivli Ukrainy. Retrieved from http://ref.org.ua/info/news/uchast%60urobochiygrupizrozrobkytavprovadzhennyastrategiyieksportusektorumashynobuduvannya/?sphrase_id=12. |
Content type: | Article |
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