The coronavirus disease COVID-19 Spreadi ng prediction in Ukraine by means of microsoft Excel

Abstract

COVID-19 has completely eclipsed the morbidity, mortality, and economic impact of any other seasonal flu or communicable disease in the past century, and it is vitally important to have means that make it possible to predict its spreading. Analysis of the situation regarding the course of COVID-19 as well as diagrams of the future pandemic emphasizes their ability to change the configuration and behavior, which requires a rapid response to these changes. In view of this, an important factor is the efficiency and the need to develop a simple model, suitable for understanding even by non-specialists and with the possibility of use in the "field". Based on the Excel-project of the North-Western University, a system of automatic identification of the SIR-model (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) of COVID-19 was developed.