RESEARCH ON INVESTMENT PROCESS DYNAMICS TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION STOCHASTICITY OF WORLD AND NATIONAL ECONOMIES’ CRISIS PHENOMENA

Abstract

The study indicates a significant decline in investment activity since the beginning of 2020 due to the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic. Almost all economies in the world witnessed the impact of the crisis. There was a drop in investment activity in Ukraine – output flows tended to decrease during 2009–2019. Taking into account the stochasticity of the processes taking place in the world economy, on the basis of the theory of Markov chains, forecasting of FDI in Ukraine was carried out. The modeling showed that in 2023 the situation with FDI in Ukraine would stabilize. Taking into account the predicted scenarios, the authors suggested that enterprises must focus on domestic investment and government support to overcome the crisis in the economy caused by the situation with COVID-19.